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Old 01-16-2024, 08:02 AM
 
7,752 posts, read 3,785,899 times
Reputation: 14656

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Quote:
Originally Posted by elnina View Post
Even middle class Americans can afford less and less. Not to mention the lower class that really struggles.
First it was about houses, now I read that many can't afford to buy new cars.

Most middle-class Americans say they can't support their cost of living.

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/inflati...ost-of-living/
Sadly, such falsehoods continue to be propogated despite data showing them to be completely false.

You have to remember, such click-bait news stories are not objective truth. They are written by journism majors, not by economists who study actual, you know, DATA. Most journalists couldn't pass high school Calculus let alone understand an Econometric Model. They are first and foremost purveyors of progressive words.

These commentators and many progressive politicians seem to believe that
  • little progress has been made in raising average American living standards since the 1960s
  • poverty has not been substantially reduced over the period
  • the median household’s standard of living has not increased in recent years, and
  • inequality is currently high and rising (“a truth universally acknowledged,” according to the Economist magazine in 2020).

Yet the data show such hand-wringing is misplaced (a charitable interpretation) or just made up out of whole cloth to influence the easily-influenced public (all too often).

Average living standards in the USA have improved dramatically. Real (inflation-adjusted) income of the bottom quintile of families grew more than 681% from 1967 to 2017. The percentage of people living in poverty fell from 32% in 1947 to 15% in 1967 to only 1.1% in 2017.

Opportunities created by economic growth, and government-sponsored social programs funded by that growth, produced broadly shared prosperity:
  • 94% of households in 2017 would have been at least as well off as the top quintile in 1967.
  • Bottom-quintile households in 2017 enjoy the same living standards as middle-quintile 1967 households, and on a per capita basis the bottom quintile has a 3% higher income adjusted for inflation.
  • Top-quintile households receive income equal to roughly four times the bottom (and only 2.2 times the lowest on a per capita basis).

Some people take data out-of-context saying the middle class has been shrinking for decades. True - but for the best of all possible reasons:

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Old 01-16-2024, 08:17 AM
 
19,776 posts, read 18,060,308 times
Reputation: 17262
Quote:
Originally Posted by elnina View Post
Even middle class Americans can afford less and less. Not to mention the lower class that really struggles.
First it was about houses, now I read that many can't afford to buy new cars.

Most middle-class Americans say they can't support their cost of living.

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/inflati...ost-of-living/
Musk, Buffet etc. did not cause our latest round of inflation.

1. Incredibly dumb fiscal policy in '21 and '22 did, I can be very specific if anyone desires. Russia invading Ukraine added to the pressure.

2. General price inflation increases as defined by CPI always hurt the working poor and those on fixed incomes the worst.

3. People make their own beds....too many middle class people insist on living in areas, neighborhoods and homes they cannot afford, this has been a problem in NY, SF and LA for decades. Many people spend stupidly. A few years ago The Dallas Morning News ran a story about a number of local lower middle class families who were struggling. One family was in trouble very obviously because the, "dad" insisted on driving a newish F-150 to his job a long way off that did not require the use of his truck - ever. The net of all this is the guy was spending about 35% of the family's discretionary income on his truck. That's just stupid and the family should've blamed the dad. Not me. Not Warren Buffett etc.
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Old 01-16-2024, 09:17 AM
 
Location: WA
5,641 posts, read 24,948,076 times
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It is narrow minded to measure anything in dollars as our government policies make the dollar worth less every day. A millionaire in 1950 would have less than 15,000 in todays dollars.
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Old 01-16-2024, 09:33 AM
 
Location: Warwick, RI
5,475 posts, read 6,294,063 times
Reputation: 9513
Quote:
Originally Posted by cdelena View Post
It is narrow minded to measure anything in dollars as our government policies make the dollar worth less every day. A millionaire in 1950 would have less than 15,000 in todays dollars.
And if that millionaire had just 1/10 of that million dollar net worth in the S&P 500 index in 1950 and left it be, he'd have $262 million today. Just saying, power of compounding and all.

Those who understand the power of compound interest earn it. Those who do not understand pay it.
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Old 01-16-2024, 10:02 AM
 
Location: Victory Mansions, Airstrip One
6,750 posts, read 5,047,257 times
Reputation: 9184
Quote:
Originally Posted by moguldreamer View Post
Real (inflation-adjusted) income of the bottom quintile of families grew more than 681% from 1967 to 2017.
That statistic does not pass the sniff test. Inflation (CPI-U) for that period was a factor of 7.4. You're suggesting wages grew by another factor of 7.81 beyond inflation. Multiplying those two we get a wage growth factor of about 58 in nominal dollars. Now working backwards, let's use $10/hr as a bottom quintile wage in 2017. That's a guess on my part, but IMO a reasonable guess. Applying the factor of 58, we arrive at a bottom quintile wage of 17 cents per hour in 1967.

Considering the federal minimum wage was $1/hr in 1967, a wage of 17 cents/hr seems unlikely. To put this in some perspective, in 1967 17 cents could buy half a gallon of gasoline, or about three and a half postage stamps. Were wages really that awful? I was a child at the time so I don't have personal work experience to support or refute any of these numbers. I made around $3/hr in my first paid jobs during the late 1970s, doing manual farm labor.

Last edited by hikernut; 01-16-2024 at 11:12 AM..
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Old 01-16-2024, 10:36 AM
 
19,776 posts, read 18,060,308 times
Reputation: 17262
Quote:
Originally Posted by cdelena View Post
It is narrow minded to measure anything in dollars as our government policies make the dollar worth less every day. A millionaire in 1950 would have less than 15,000 in todays dollars.
False. It's very easy to track relative dollar values over time.

Further, 15,000 January 1950 dollars had the same relative buying power as ~$196,000 today. Not $1,000,000 today.

Finally, a millionaire in 1950 ($1,000,000) had roughly the same relative buying power as someone with $13MM and change today.
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Old 01-16-2024, 11:27 AM
 
5,149 posts, read 3,078,346 times
Reputation: 11034
A few hundred billion here, a few hundred billion there, pretty soon you’re talking about real money.

(Apologies to the late great Everett Dirksen, a man who saw where it was headed and tried to help)
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Old 01-16-2024, 01:08 PM
 
16,551 posts, read 8,589,183 times
Reputation: 19393
Quote:
Originally Posted by elnina View Post
Oracle founder Larry Ellison
I don't know if he will make it to a trillion, but he is already incredibly wealthy. When I was vacationing on Lana'i some years 10 years ago, he had just bought 98% of the island. Being a part of Hawaii I was surprised he could buy that much (all be it the smallest of the islands the tourists go to). While I do not envy the uber rich, it seemed like an ostentatious act to gobble up almost the entire island,,,, and here I thought Oprah was selfish and bad by buying a large estate on Maui, then cutting off access to one of only two roads that lead back to civilization off the Road to Hana.
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Old 01-16-2024, 01:14 PM
 
Location: Las Vegas & San Diego
6,913 posts, read 3,371,850 times
Reputation: 8629
Quote:
Originally Posted by elnina View Post
Even middle class Americans can afford less and less. Not to mention the lower class that really struggles.
First it was about houses, now I read that many can't afford to buy new cars.

Most middle-class Americans say they can't support their cost of living.

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/inflati...ost-of-living/
Don't confuse wants vs desires - they can afford what they need but their desires are higher which is why so many have little in savings. They can support a middle class style of living but many want the upper class style.
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Old 01-16-2024, 01:47 PM
 
Location: Coastal Georgia
50,344 posts, read 63,928,555 times
Reputation: 93287
Quote:
Originally Posted by FL_Expert View Post
Elon Musk has a fair shot at it if one of his several companies gets to the next level.

I’m curious if there may already be a trillionaire or two in the middle-east where it’s more difficult to measure wealth.
I hear the top 5 Hamas leaders are billionaires now.
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