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Beginning for 4/18, this report will show daily totals for each date for hospitalized COVID-19 patients, ICU patients, and ventilator patients. These daily statistics often are revised. The revisions will be reported periodically, with rates of change also revised at that time. The revision dates will be indicated. These statistics are found here by scrolling over the bar chart.
All three statistics are net of new patients, patient deaths, and patient discharges. Ohio does not provide such granularity very conveniently, if at all.
Rich Exner of Cleveland.com also reports daily deaths, with daily revisions. I haven't found the source of these statistics, but they can be seen in his daily statistical analysis at the following link.
Assuming there is no lag in reporting as 5/3 was a Sunday, daily hospitalizations showed the greatest percentage decline in the past 2 weeks. For the first time in the past two weeks, total hospitalizations fell below 1,000 and ICU patients fell below 400.
The impact of reopening the Ohio economy, and the likelihood that individuals also will lessen their personal social distancing practices as a result, probably won't be reflected in the daily statistics until late May or early June, given the lag between exposure and the development of more severe symptoms. Also community spread resulting from an increase in the number of asymptomatic patients will take several weeks to manifest itself.
Ohio COVID-19 Cumulative Statistics Report for 5/4/20
Ohio COVID-19 Cumulative Statistics Report for 5/4/20
As explained in post 52, daily reports in this thread now are divided into three separate posts: 1) Cumulative Statistics Report; 2) Daily Statistics Report; and 3) Analysis of Daily Briefing.
In posts prior to today, the reports of hospitalizations and ICU admissions in earlier threads were inaccurately identified as daily statistics due to the lack of explanation in the daily Ohio COVID-19 reports. These cumulative statistics for earlier dates can be found in earlier posts in this thread.
Here, based on the daily Ohio COVID-19 report, are the daily cumulative hospitalizations (rate of change from prior day), cumulative ICU admissions (beginning with the reporting of this statistic on 3/25 and rate of change from prior day), and cumulative deaths (rate of change from prior day}.
See post 51, 5/1/20, for an explanation of how it was determined that statistics for hospitalizations and ICU admissions reported in earlier threads reflected cumulative statistics and NOT daily statistics. Recognizing that these statistics are cumulative, and not daily, makes the burden on Ohio hospitals much less than commonly understood. However, due to the lengthy hospitalizations of COVID-19 patients, especially those in ICUs, until they either die or are discharged, the difference between the cumulative statistics and daily statistics are not quite as dramatic as of 5/2/20 as might be expected. E.g., as of the 5/1/20 daily report, cumulative hospitalizations of 3,634 are only 341% of daily hospitalizations of 1,066, and cumulative ICU admissions of 1,056 are only 253% of the daily ICU admissions of 418.
As the Ohio daily COVID-19 report features only cumulative statistics on its main page, it's not explained why the reports showed a decline in cumulative ICU admissions from 4/28 to 4/29. Presumably this reflected the impact of revised ICU admissions for prior days.
So for each day, cumulative hospitalized patients are listed first, then cumulative ICU patients (beginning 3/25 when Ohio first began reporting this statistic), then cumulative deaths.
To keep posts in this thread from becoming too long, five-day reports will replace daily statistics using compounded rates of change (calculated using a business calculator). Daily statistics will remain available in earlier threads. Five-day compounded rates of change are marked by an asterisk. The 5-day death growth rate from 3/20 to 3/25 likely was distorted by having only 1 death as the starting point.
Growth in cumulative hospitalizations fell for the first time to 1 percent on 5/4. As the denominator continues to grow, and as hospitalizations, ICU admissions, and deaths all slow due to PAST efforts at social distancing, all three metrics should begin posting daily cumulative growth rates of LESS than 1 percent, perhaps until the impact of reopening Ohio's economy again begins to accelerate the COVID-19 epidemic several weeks from now.
The growth rate for all three cumulative metrics are rounded to the nearest 1 percent.
Ohio COVID-19 Cumulative Statistics Report for 5/5/20
Ohio COVID-19 Cumulative Statistics Report for 5/5/20
As explained in post 52, daily reports in this thread now are divided into three separate posts: 1) Cumulative Statistics Report; 2) Daily Statistics Report; and 3) Analysis of Daily Briefing.
In posts prior to today, the reports of hospitalizations and ICU admissions in earlier threads were inaccurately identified as daily statistics due to the lack of explanation in the daily Ohio COVID-19 reports. These cumulative statistics for earlier dates can be found in earlier posts in this thread.
Here, based on the daily Ohio COVID-19 report, are the daily cumulative hospitalizations (rate of change from prior day), cumulative ICU admissions (beginning with the reporting of this statistic on 3/25 and rate of change from prior day), and cumulative deaths (rate of change from prior day}.
See post 51, 5/1/20, for an explanation of how it was determined that statistics for hospitalizations and ICU admissions reported in earlier threads reflected cumulative statistics and NOT daily statistics. Recognizing that these statistics are cumulative, and not daily, makes the burden on Ohio hospitals much less than commonly understood. However, due to the lengthy hospitalizations of COVID-19 patients, especially those in ICUs, until they either die or are discharged, the difference between the cumulative statistics and daily statistics are not quite as dramatic as of 5/2/20 as might be expected. E.g., as of the 5/1/20 daily report, cumulative hospitalizations of 3,634 are only 341% of daily hospitalizations of 1,066, and cumulative ICU admissions of 1,056 are only 253% of the daily ICU admissions of 418.
As the Ohio daily COVID-19 report features only cumulative statistics on its main page, it's not explained why the reports showed a decline in cumulative ICU admissions from 4/28 to 4/29. Presumably this reflected the impact of revised ICU admissions for prior days.
So for each day, cumulative hospitalized patients are listed first, then cumulative ICU patients (beginning 3/25 when Ohio first began reporting this statistic), then cumulative deaths.
As the denominator (prior day cumulative metric) continues to grow, and as hospitalizations, ICU admissions, and deaths all slow due to PAST efforts at social distancing, all three metrics should begin posting daily cumulative growth rates of LESS than 1 percent, perhaps until the impact of reopening Ohio's economy again begins to accelerate the COVID-19 epidemic several weeks from now.
The growth rate for all three cumulative metrics are rounded to the nearest 1 percent.
To keep posts in this thread from becoming too long, five-day reports will replace daily statistics using compounded rates of change (calculated using a business calculator). Daily statistics will remain available in earlier threads. Five-day compounded rates of change are marked by an asterisk. The 5-day death growth rate from 3/20 to 3/25 likely was distorted by having only 1 death as the starting point.
On 5/5, the cumulative growth rates jumped to levels not seen since 4/22-4/23 (see post 42). If this reacceleration of the epidemic continues for the next several days, it may indicate that Ohio social distancing compliance weakened a couple weeks ago. However, revisions in the daily statistics (see post 64) for this past weekend surely suggests that lagged reporting explains at least part of the 5/5 growth rate spikes.
If growth rates for the three metrics do continue at the 5/5 levels for several days, and with the reopening of the Ohio economy, by the end of May, things could be much worse as the decline in social distancing associated with reopening also is reflected in the metrics on a lagged basis. Increased community spread will affect the three health metrics with a lag due to the COVID-19 virus incubation period.
Keep also in mind that these levels of growth are more serious than in April as the cumulative denominators (prior day metrics) are larger than in April.
Beginning for 4/18, this report will show daily totals for each date for hospitalized COVID-19 patients, ICU patients, and ventilator patients. These daily statistics often are revised. The revisions will be reported periodically, with rates of change also revised at that time. The revision dates will be indicated. These statistics are found here by scrolling over the bar chart.
All three statistics are net of new patients, patient deaths, and patient discharges. Ohio does not provide such granularity very conveniently, if at all.
Rich Exner of Cleveland.com also reports daily deaths, with daily revisions. I haven't found the source of these statistics, but they can be seen in his daily statistical analysis at the following link.
R = Revised as of 5/5/20. Hospitalization revisions reduced patients by 2 to 10 patients for each day during 4/25-5/1/; hospitalizations increased by 51 patients on 5/4, 127 patients on 5//3, and 4 patients on 5/4. ICU revisions reduced patients by 7 on 5/1, and increased patients by 5 on 5/2, and by 43 on 5/3. Ventilator patients were reduced by 1 on 5/1, but increased by 10 on 5/2, 27 on 5/3, and by one on 5/4.
Originally it was reported that hospitalizations fell below 1,000 on 5/3 and that ICU patients fell below 400. See post 62. With subsequent revisions through 5/5, that no longer is the case. For over two weeks, Ohio COVID-19 hospitalizations have plateaued largely between 1050-1100, not fallen, even as we begin to reopen the Ohio economy. It appears now that his plateauing may represent a BASE from which hospitalizations will increase in the weeks ahead as social distancing policies are weakened.
Ohio COVID-19 Cumulative Statistics Report for 5/6/20 & 5/7/20
Ohio COVID-19 Cumulative Statistics Report for 5/6/20 & 5/7/20
As explained in post 52, daily reports in this thread now are divided into three separate posts: 1) Cumulative Statistics Report; 2) Daily Statistics Report; and 3) Analysis of Daily Briefing.
In posts prior to today, the reports of hospitalizations and ICU admissions in earlier threads were inaccurately identified as daily statistics due to the lack of explanation in the daily Ohio COVID-19 reports. These cumulative statistics for earlier dates can be found in earlier posts in this thread.
Here, based on the daily Ohio COVID-19 report, are the daily cumulative hospitalizations (rate of change from prior day), cumulative ICU admissions (beginning with the reporting of this statistic on 3/25 and rate of change from prior day), and cumulative deaths (rate of change from prior day}.
See post 51, 5/1/20, for an explanation of how it was determined that statistics for hospitalizations and ICU admissions reported in earlier threads reflected cumulative statistics and NOT daily statistics. Recognizing that these statistics are cumulative, and not daily, makes the burden on Ohio hospitals much less than commonly understood. However, due to the lengthy hospitalizations of COVID-19 patients, especially those in ICUs, until they either die or are discharged, the difference between the cumulative statistics and daily statistics are not quite as dramatic as of 5/2/20 as might be expected. E.g., as of the 5/1/20 daily report, cumulative hospitalizations of 3,634 are only 341% of daily hospitalizations of 1,066, and cumulative ICU admissions of 1,056 are only 253% of the daily ICU admissions of 418.
As the Ohio daily COVID-19 report features only cumulative statistics on its main page, it's not explained why the reports showed a decline in cumulative ICU admissions from 4/28 to 4/29. Presumably this reflected the impact of revised ICU admissions for prior days.
So for each day, cumulative hospitalized patients are listed first, then cumulative ICU patients (beginning 3/25 when Ohio first began reporting this statistic), then cumulative deaths.
As the denominator (prior day cumulative metric) continues to grow, and as hospitalizations, ICU admissions, and deaths all slow due to PAST efforts at social distancing, all three metrics should begin posting daily cumulative growth rates of LESS than 1 percent, perhaps until the impact of reopening Ohio's economy again begins to accelerate the COVID-19 epidemic several weeks from now.
The growth rate for all three cumulative metrics are rounded to the nearest 1 percent.
To keep posts in this thread from becoming too long, five-day reports will replace daily statistics using compounded rates of change (calculated using a business calculator). Daily statistics will remain available in earlier threads. Five-day compounded rates of change are marked by an asterisk. The 5-day death growth rate from 3/20 to 3/25 likely was distorted by having only 1 death as the starting point.
On 5/5, the cumulative growth rates jumped to levels not seen since 4/22-4/23 (see post 42). An even higher cumulative growth rate than for 5/5 was reported for deaths on 5/6. The 5/6 growth rate for cumulative deaths of 8 percent was last seen on 4/23, two weeks earlier.
The same level of growth rate for cumulative statistics in May are more serious than in April as the cumulative denominators (prior day metrics) are larger than in April. So the consequences of returning to late April grow rates for cumulative deaths was noted by Cleveland.com data analyst Rich Exner.
<<The 90 deaths added Wednesday were the second most reported in a single day, behind 138 on April 29. The 79 deaths reported Tuesday is the third most.>>
The compounded growth rates for cumulative ICU admissions and cumulative COVID-19 deaths for the five days ended 5/4 were the lowest yet for any 5-day period.
It seems certain that the current 5-day period (ending 5/9) will see an increase from the prior 5-day period (ended 5/4) in the compound growth rate for cumulative deaths, marking the first time since 4/24 that an increase has happened for any of the three cumulative COVID-19 statistics provided by Ohio. For the 5-day period ended 4/24, the cumulative ICU admissions growth rate increased by 1 percent.
Ohio Daily COVID-19 Statistics Report 5/18/20 to 5/22/20
Ohio Daily COVID-19 Statistics Report 5/18/20 to 5/22/20
Beginning for 4/18, this report will show daily totals for each date for hospitalized COVID-19 patients, ICU patients, and ventilator patients. These daily statistics often are revised. The revisions will be reported periodically, with rates of change also revised at that time. The revision dates will be indicated. These statistics are found here by scrolling over the bar chart.
All three statistics are net of new patients, patient deaths, and patient discharges. Ohio does not provide such granularity very conveniently, if at all.
Rich Exner of Cleveland.com also reports daily deaths, with daily revisions. I haven't found the source of these statistics, but they can be seen in his daily statistical analysis at the following link.
R = Revised as of 5/5/20. Hospitalization revisions increased patients by 127 patients on 5//3. ICU revisions increased patients by 43 on 5/3. Ventilator patients were increased by 27 on 5/3.
**Percentage change over 15 days. ***Percentage change over 30 days
Perhaps in the last few days, especially in the ICU metric, the impact of reopening is beginning to show in the daily metrics.
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Ohio COVID-19 Cumulative Statistics Report for 5/4/20
