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It's hard to predict the season just a day after the Super Bowl -- who knows who's even on what team next year! But let's get it going.
I'd say KC will be in the running again assuming they keep Jones and Kelce, particularly if they continue to shore up the receiver group.
Seattle (my team) will contend in the NFC West, but that's a leap. Will they keep Geno, elevate Luck, draft Penix (just hired his OC!). Otherwise there's a lot of good young talent to build upon, and a moderate cap situation.
San Francisco seems to be avoiding a sell-off due to transferring much of their 2023 cap space to add more capacity in 2024. They have one more year before the Purdy gets his monster contract. Even this year they'll have some trouble, so it might be hard to run it back. And that assumes they don't get a lot of injuries (ones before the actual Super Bowl).
Arizona is probably on the rise. The Rams avoided a complete rebuild by drafting well, particularly Puka. The Broncos have an interesting cap situation due to Russ. Can't wait to see what Chicago does. It'll be a fascinating spring.
Current SB champion odds have, in order, SF, KC, Buffalo, Baltimore, Cincinnati, Detroit, Dallas, Philadelphia as the top eight. Predictable enough. I'd take Philadelphia at their price because they're in the weaker conference and we know what they're capable of when full strength. Very enigmatic final six weeks or so for them. The NFC North will be the most interesting division to monitor this off-season IMO. Carolina and Tennessee seem like the only teams that can already be written off for 2024 (assuming Washington and NE take quarterbacks at picks 2 and 3). The Bills are in cap hell but are a bit likelier to get better than they are to get worse. Deep WR class in the draft and next year's AFC champ could be determined by who gets more value out of their likely WR drafted at the end of the 1st, Buffalo or KC. Jets with Rodgers are probably the best dark horse to bet, though there's certainly a decent chance that Rodgers never recovers anything close to his vintage form. The rest of that team is pretty talented, though
I believe the NFC North is gonna be hot next year.
The basement dweller in the division will have 9 wins.
If the schedulers are smart, GB vs. DET & Vikings vs. Bears for week 18.
It'd be like an extended playoff season.
If Chicago and Minnesota both start rookie QBs, then I'll set the win total O/U for 4th place in the NFC North at 6.5, with the over being a slight favorite
If Chicago and Minnesota both start rookie QBs, then I'll set the win total O/U for 4th place in the NFC North at 6.5, with the over being a slight favorite
Yeah. This is where you just don't know. Too many teams have massive holes or unknowns in the roster at the moment. Where does Cousins wind up? Pittsburgh has been mentioned lately, though.. I suspect he's back with the Vikings. But.. He could make a big difference there.
Teams like Washington that.. Have some good pieces in place. If they can make the right signings, or the new coach works out.. They could turn things around.
Chargers, I expect to be much better next year.
What are the Raiders going to do at QB?
Will Aaron Rodgers get the Jets a few more wins to get them into the playoffs? Will he last more than 4 snaps?
What happens with Russell Wilson?
Does the Dallas defense fall back without Dan Quinn? Most players have credited him with the success there. With Dak and the offense struggling at times.. If the defense falls off, does that kick Dallas out of being a playoff team (This one, I say yes)
The teams that missed out.. Cincy. If they get back in, who does that kick out of the playoffs? Cleveland? Pittsburgh?
Put this on ice until after the draft at least. At that point, some decent arguments could perhaps be made. I'd probably wait until just before or after the preseason.
Have to laugh at these early lists. Sports Illustrated had Eagles at 9 and Packers at 10. Their list included Miami which pushed Philly to 9. One that makes me smile is Dallas, they get the hype, regardless of the fact, what have they done lately in the playoffs???
Addition: Draft Kinds has Philly 8, Pack 9 and Dallas 10, that's more like it, sorry Cowboy fans. I think this year will be a tough one, unless Zimmer works some "D" magic.
Last edited by susancruzs; 02-12-2024 at 03:30 PM..
Assuming a $245m cap, six teams have at least $60m in current cap space for 2024, so generally some room to keep their current players, sign extensions, maybe add a big piece or two. Rounding off:
--Washington $84m
--Tennessee $72m
--New England $67m
--Houston $62m
--Indianapolis $62m
--Cincinnati $61m
21 teams have between $42m and -$27m.
Five teams have -$31m to -$86m. Some will be able to mask a lot of that by turning salary into bonus and spreading that over several years, or cutting underperformers, but they're generally going to have to cut real value.
--Denver -$31m
--Chargers -44m
--Miami -$51m
--Buffalo -$57m
--New Orleans -$86m
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