Fall / Winter Weather 2022-2023 Thread (showing, better, models)

[Labonte18]

Originally Posted by UpstateJohn

So, Nicole........No real impacts here, just some wind and rain, maybe? Maybe less rain? Hopefully enough wind to blow away the rest of the leaves in my yard.

Wind is the big concern.. There was talk of gusts in the 40-50mph range. Though I think that's been downgraded a bit now.


Seeing as the last one that ran through took a bunch of shingles off my roof.. I'm on the schedule to have it replaced.. So.. Kinda glad it's not going to happen before this one runs through.

[Psychoma]

Originally Posted by Mr Bruce

GFS says first real freeze is Nov 6th. Somebody remember to see if they were right

Maybe we're playing the winter classic of it's always a week away. Maybe end of this weekend and into next week cooler now, perhaps.

[Psychoma]

Originally Posted by UpstateJohn

... Hopefully enough wind to blow away the rest of the leaves in my yard.

Breeze this week has really emptied the trees around my property (up against the woods). But now my fence has trapped all the leaves...

[Psychoma]

As of Wed pm, looks like similar winds this week continue (10-20ish), and with gust to around 30mph. That should keep us below power/tree issues (May be an unlucky few briefly. Need closer to 40mph gust for issues tho really.). Slow moving system to our South should have time to weaken over land before zipping thru Friday.

Scattered rains later Thurs into Fri afternoon. Main issue may be the tornado risk late Thurs into early Friday.

[UpstateJohn]

Hurrican one day, frost the next! Looks like winter is catching up!

[Mr Bruce]

Originally Posted by Mr Bruce

I've made a note when all (99%) of the leaves are off the trees since 2018

2018 Nov 30
2019 Dec 1
2020 Dec 14
2021 Dec 10

I am betting on a new early record this year.

Nov 15.all leaves down. A new record.

[USNRET04]

My son, 16, is going backpack/hammock camping up in Mountain Rest area this weekend. Going to be downright BRRRRR at night. He's prepared though...zero degree bag, underquilt, etc....

[HailVictory]

Originally Posted by Mr Bruce

Nov 15.all leaves down. A new record.

There was that late season hurricane that passed through, so the new record may warrant a dreaded asterisk.

[Mr Bruce]

Originally Posted by HailVictory

There was that late season hurricane that passed through, so the new record may warrant a dreaded asterisk.

Maybe. But Paris Mountain was completely brown before the storm came through, and we were only a week behind.

In other local-ish news, it's been 10+ years since you could ski this early.

[Psychoma]

Looks like we’re stuck in an overall cooler pattern with repeated CAD setups thru end of the month (Cold Air Damming…cold gets pushed up against this side of the mountains) and when not CAD then cold front popping thru. I’ll take it since we’re into the holiday season (i85 would appreciate drier roads though)! Other than fantasy storms that always seem to stay a week away, not seeing any wintry weather yet tho it appears for now.