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The energy came on shore this morning. It's around Northern California and about to make its journey across the U.S picking up Gulf Moisture with it. That current rain in the gulf states is NOT part of this storm
Also note, before it came on shore this morning, how did models know 4 days ago when the energy for this storm was over the Pacific without a lot of observation data from that area? Impressive. Upper Air pattern
Also.... Usually the latitude the storm comes onshore along the Pacific coast is the latitude it exits the East coast. Old timer taught me this. Not always but a general rule of thumb
As always, relying on your posts. Can you post in CT forum, too, with snow prediction maps that include central CT? Thanks.
Done
Quote:
Originally Posted by Ed's Mountain
12Z GFS has shifted the low north a little but has shifted rain-snow line south a little.
NYC on a knife edge between 4 inches of snow and half an inch of rain.
And there's the details we wait for as we get closer. Models finally realizing its cold enough to snow near the coast even with the low closer. Interesting!
7-14 days before:: we watch for the storm to keep showing up to be confident there is a storm in the region
5-6 days before:: we start watching for track and consistency of a model(s)
3-4 days before:: impacts, details like temp, wind, amounts, and timing of storm become more known
1-2 days before:: much better confidence on amounts and timing
We're in the 3-4 day time frame now so forecast maps should be coming out. Please post some
Yes, out on Long Island it will be another rain storm. There's another storm forecast for next week, same pattern. Where's Cambium's White Flag for the LI winter?
Yes, out on Long Island it will be another rain storm. There's another storm forecast for next week, same pattern. Where's Cambium's White Flag for the LI winter?
LOL. So true.
I do think though that overall climate plays a big role in it as well.
There is this southwest to northeast line that snow on the middle/upper East Coast seems to follow (I'm sure it's tied to elevation a great deal) . The near freezing line (30 - 35 F Jan mean temp) seems like the rough dividing line (black line) between 'always gets the snow' (central/western PA, NW NJ, most of NY, Mass. VT, NH, ME)....and 'never gets the snow' (Cape Cod south through southern CT, LI, most of NJ, DE, ME, VA). Depending on if you like/hate snow moving deeper across this line seems to make a big difference in the winter you get often.
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Can you post the central CT of the Euro in CT forum?
